Sawmills in Quebec and Ontario are running at record high levels

28 april 2017 Record high production at sawmills in Ontario and Quebec in 2016 has generated large volumes of residues in the two provinces, reports the North American Wood Fiber Review. In the past that would have been good news for the local pulp industry, but with a declining pulp and paper sector, many sawmills are finding it difficult to sell their byproduct locally. / Wood Resources International

Sawmills in Eastern Canada have been running at record high levels in 2016, with production reaching levels almost ten percent higher than in 2015 and almost 40 percent higher than five years ago. This has been very good news to the forest industry, with sawmills running at 97% operating rates in late 2016, according to the WWPA. However, there are also worrisome developments regarding the large volumes of residual chips that are being generated and where the chips can be sold.

The pulp sector has been the key consumer of residuals in the past, but with a shrinking
pulp industry in both Ontario and Quebec, there are concerns that sawmills in the region
might be forced to limit production levels because it may be difficult to sell off the large
volumes of chips that are being produced.

Despite the oversupply of residues in Quebec, wood chip prices have not changed much
over the past few years in Canadian dollar terms. Most contract prices for residues are set
on an annual basis and after four years of practically unchanged prices, they fell almost
five percent in the 1Q/17. It is likely that prices will decline in the future but this will not
necessarily solve the problem with access to chips in the province. Either new production
capacity needs to be added (e.g. wood pulp, pellets, composite panels or bio-based
products), or sawmills will have to find other outlets for their chips outside the province.

Alternatively, sawmills might have to reduce production levels in the future.
Although the latter alternative would be less desirable for both the domestic forest
industry and for lumber consumers in the US to which much of the lumber is exported, it
could still be a reality later this year. If the new US softwood lumber import tariff is
implemented at such a high rate that it reduces the profitability of the lumber companies
in the two provinces, it is likely to result in reduced production levels and thus declining
supply of residual chips to find a home for.

The North American Wood Fiber Review has tracked wood fiber markets in the US and
Canada for over 30 years and it is the only publication that includes prices for sawlogs,
pulpwood, wood chips, pellet feedstock and biomass in North America. The 36-page
quarterly report includes wood market updates for 15 regions on the continent in
addition to the latest export statistics for sawlogs, lumber, wood pellets and wood chips.

Contact Information
Wood Resources International LLC
Hakan Ekstrom
Seattle, USA
info@woodprices.com
www.woodprices.com

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